ProgrammerHumor
fewThingsWontChange
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2070 is the year of desktop Linux taking over, this time for sure!
Same year as nuclear fusion becomes the main energy source
Didn't Linus himself say he would accept AI generated code if it's of good quality
Good quality requires actual human audit and human review, which is contrary to the definition of "vibe coding".
I've taken help of AI when I'm stuck (think writers block). However I make sure to READ the damn output
Not that it's "vibe code", but there's plenty of AI generated code in the kernel.
I work with a guy who is a big contributor to Linux (and various other LF projects), and he has Claude open on a third monitor every day. 100% chance some of the code he has contributed has been written by AI.
Naturally a big gap between a decades long experienced dev contributing AI generated code, and someone who has left an LLM entirely to its own devices.
I think Linux might die before then. Just something else will come in like 2049 and replace Linux. Maybe quantum compute operating systems? Or forward thinking, from scratch rust kernel.
Arch will fork its own kernel and call it arch-kernel-btw-1.0
Bro. Quantum Computing is not the supercomputer you think it is. It has many theoretical limitations ("theoretical" as in fundamental to the nature of quantum mechanics itself). For example, you can never be certain if a result from a quantum process is the right result (due to being fundamentally probability based) until you double check it with a classical computer. And for the vast majority of tasks, it's better (faster + simpler + cheaper) to just use a classical computer.
The likely household quantum computer of the future is just a conventional PC with a quantum chip - the same way most household computers have graphics cards or APUs.
Dedicated quantum-only computers will exist of course, but they'll be purpose built for specific tasks, not for general use.
I don't think we're 24 years away from commercial quantum computers on households...
I mean, just 22 years ago we went from 32-bit to 64-bit and it wasn't even widespread until Windows Vista 18 years ago. Hell, we're still using the same x86 architecture from 46 years ago.
24 years is a lot of time in technology & science but it's not enough for a completely new architecture to not only leave its niche in cryptography, simulation and data analysis but serve an actual practical purpose for regular people (and be cheap enough).
A more credible claim is that x86 might be less and less used in favor of ARM on PCs. Still not probable but possible. And Linux won't die, because it's perfect for what it's used most.
I mean if they went the apple route and just stopped making non-arm cpus or non quantum cpus then it would be a much faster adoption. And when x64 was designed it was made as an extension of x86 so 32 bit has always been compatible and its never really been a "Necessity" to move your software over from 32 bit (but there are many benefits to developing in 64 bit)
Quantum Computer isn't even that at all valuable because it doesn't make the PC run faster, it's even slower if anything. It's just really good at storing stuffs and has trillions of bits to use (doesn't necessarily translate to faster speed at all because it's not just about sheer bits amount). Our modern hardwares are as fast as it could reach.
Quantum computers are for other less consumers friendly stuffs, which already makes it less appealing than most other technologies. Why do you think we still have not any noticeable breakthrough in Quantum PC? Because the value is not that much there.
without the part about quantum computing, you're essentially right.
A whole new kernel is unlikely to supplant linux any time soon, but then 2049 and 2070 aren't all that "soon". Also, I'd like to point out to others that you didn't say that it's a certainty that Linux will die by then, you said, it "might".
Yeah I don't understand the downvotes. I mean we're not running Unix proper nor MS DOS-based OS today anymore. Things shift.
The only thing that protect the kernel from being infected by bad code (vibe coded or not) is that guy who is at it's origin who rather die than let a single line of bad code enter the repo.
And if ever someone manage to take control of the kernel development, he would create a new one that will get more popular than the legacy one way before the takeover would reach the news.
And that only works because it's big dick energy to be that guy. I fear however, that in the future it will be so complex due to eternal APIs etc wanting to obfusticate it, so that this process is impossible and it doesn't matter which big dick energy guy you are, somehow they will find ways to fuck with the kernal tbh.
I think you phrased this perfectly by saying "bad code".
I'm pretty sure linus wouldn't care less HOW the code came to be, as long as it's good, understandable, maintainable code. And that whoever submitted it understands what it does down to each symbol. Even if it's generated, that's not really of importance, the context is.