ProgrammerHumor
fewThingsWontChange
Discussion
I think Linux might die before then. Just something else will come in like 2049 and replace Linux. Maybe quantum compute operating systems? Or forward thinking, from scratch rust kernel.
Arch will fork its own kernel and call it arch-kernel-btw-1.0
I don't think we're 24 years away from commercial quantum computers on households...
I mean, just 22 years ago we went from 32-bit to 64-bit and it wasn't even widespread until Windows Vista 18 years ago. Hell, we're still using the same x86 architecture from 46 years ago.
24 years is a lot of time in technology & science but it's not enough for a completely new architecture to not only leave its niche in cryptography, simulation and data analysis but serve an actual practical purpose for regular people (and be cheap enough).
A more credible claim is that x86 might be less and less used in favor of ARM on PCs. Still not probable but possible. And Linux won't die, because it's perfect for what it's used most.
The only thing that protect the kernel from being infected by bad code (vibe coded or not) is that guy who is at it's origin who rather die than let a single line of bad code enter the repo.
And if ever someone manage to take control of the kernel development, he would create a new one that will get more popular than the legacy one way before the takeover would reach the news.